Sri Lanka won the toss and chose to bowl, so India bat first. With India’s innings the only total on the board, the key question is whether they can clear a demanding line on a slow surface.

India’s team total was not offered before the toss; after it, the line is 183.5 at 1.97. The winner prices barely shifted, suggesting the toss has not been priced into the market.

The case for the Under is the expected grip through the middle overs and a sluggish outfield, which could keep India below that high mark. India’s aggressive top order and the freedom of batting first leave real danger on the Over, but the conditions point to a lower-scoring innings.

India Under 183.5 is the bet.